Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
