

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 47.73% ( | 26.06% ( | 26.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( | 53.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( | 75.41% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( | 22.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.76% ( | 56.24% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.3% ( | 35.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.52% ( | 72.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
| 3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
| 9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
| 12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
| 14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
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