

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 48.11% ( | 25.62% ( | 26.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( | 52.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( | 73.95% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( | 21.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.1% ( | 54.9% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( | 34.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.53% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
| 9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
| 11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
| 21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
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