MX23RW : Sunday, October 29 06:09:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Gillingham
Newport
2 - 0
Gillingham
Farquharson (43', 56')
Waite (72'), Moriah-Welsh (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandron (15'), Alexander (22'), Walker (66')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newport County 2-1 Gillingham

A game that both sides will view as an opportunity to take three points, we are backing the visitors here, given their relatively solid form since the arrival of Coughlan in the dugout in addition to Gillingham's goalscoring woes on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawGillingham
55.32% (-0.174 -0.17) 25.18% (-0.206 -0.21) 19.5% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 44.67% (1.093 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (1.145 1.15)56.72% (-1.145 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.912 0.91)77.67% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.389 0.39)20.51% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (0.613 0.61)53% (-0.613 -0.61)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (1.105 1.11)43.8% (-1.105 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.897 0.9)79.96% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 55.31%
    Gillingham 19.5%
    Draw 25.17%
Newport CountyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 14.23% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 11.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.5%

How you voted: Newport vs Gillingham

Newport County
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Gillingham
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-2
Newport
Newport win 4-1 on penalties
Hanlan (26' pen.), Ndjoli (90' pen.)
Ndjoli (58')
Ndjoli (93')
Abrahams (84'), Amond (94' pen.)
Howkins (89')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stockport CountyStockport16112333161735
2Notts County169343328530
3Wrexham168623227530
4Mansfield TownMansfield1578027121529
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe1685335251029
6Morecambe148332316727
7Accrington StanleyAccrington168262421326
8Gillingham168171420-625
9Swindon TownSwindon156543324923
10AFC Wimbledon165742319422
11BarrowBarrow155731714322
12MK Dons166462624222
13Salford City166372624221
14Crawley TownCrawley156362427-321
15Walsall165562428-420
16Bradford CityBradford165561721-420
17Doncaster RoversDoncaster166282025-520
18Harrogate TownHarrogate166191522-719
19Newport CountyNewport165382632-618
20Colchester UnitedColchester155192229-716
21Grimsby Town163582026-614
22Forest Green RoversForest Green1541101827-913
23Tranmere RoversTranmere1631121829-1110
24Sutton UnitedSutton1631122236-1410

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!