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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Newcastle logo

Aston Villa
4 - 1
Newcastle

Watkins (1'), Maatsen (64'), Burn (73' og.), Onana (75')
Ramsey (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schar (18')
Schar (13'), Joelinton (41'), Guimaraes (63')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins equals a club record as Aston Villa respond to their Champions League heartbreak with a 4-1 thrashing of Premier League top-five rivals Newcastle United.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Saturday's Premier League match against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 PSG
Tuesday, April 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Newcastle United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 16 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
39.42% (-5.865 -5.87) 23.23% (0.186 0.19) 37.35% (5.677 5.68)
Both teams to score 64.44% (0.939 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.98% (0.565 0.57)37.01% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.8% (0.608 0.61)59.2% (-0.609 -0.61)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75% (-2.216 -2.22)19.24% (2.215 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04% (-3.785 -3.79)50.96% (3.783 3.78)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (3.262 3.26)20.21% (-3.262 -3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (4.967 4.97)52.52% (-4.968 -4.97)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 39.42%
    Newcastle United 37.35%
    Draw 23.22%
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.633 -0.63)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.666 -0.67)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.982 -0.98)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.717 -0.72)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.794 -0.79)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.46 -0.46)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.44 -0.44)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 39.42%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.75% (0.173 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.762 0.76)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.425 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.774 0.77)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.777 0.78)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.42 0.42)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.621 0.62)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.445 0.45)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.287 0.29)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.325 0.33)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.35%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa
34.1%
Draw
21.5%
Newcastle United
44.4%
270
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Newcastle
3-0
Aston Villa
Gordon (2'), Isak (59'), Joelinton (90+1')
Trippier (23'), Joelinton (45')

Cash (14')
Duran (32')
> Match Report
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-3
Newcastle
Watkins (71')
Kamara (39'), Luiz (72'), McGinn (77'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Schar (32', 36'), Moreno (52' og.)
Gordon (90+4')
> Match Report
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
5-1
Aston Villa
Tonali (6'), Isak (16', 58'), Wilson (77'), Barnes (90+1')
Botman (45+9'), Gordon (53'), Guimaraes (67'), Tonali (90+2')
Diaby (11')
Luiz (6'), Digne (32'), Martinez (45+9'), Cash (48')
> Match Report
Jul 24, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
3-3
Aston Villa
Anderson (28'), Isak (45'), Wilson (55')
Joelinton (87'), Burn (94')
Watkins (7'), Buendia (11', 48')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
3-0
Newcastle
Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511
> Premier League Full Table


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