Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.