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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 at 2.15pm UK
St James' Park
Leicester logo
Newcastle
2 - 1
Leicester
Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Leicester City

Newcastle have come a long way both on and off the pitch since being subjected to a 4-0 humbling against Leicester at the King Power, and a spate of positive home results makes it seem likely that another one could be in store here. The Foxes do have competent options for change amid their tough schedule and have also started to perform better domestically in recent weeks, so we think this battle has a score draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.77%26.04%39.19%
Both teams to score 53.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57%72.42%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 34.77%
    Leicester City 39.19%
    Draw 26.04%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
32.5%
Draw
27.8%
Leicester City
39.6%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City36284493316288
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361871170502061
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea361110153642-643
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

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