Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.