Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.87%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.