Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 51.49% ( | 24.04% ( | 24.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( | 47.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( | 18.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( | 49.43% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( | 33.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( | 70.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 3-0 @ 5% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.48% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.47% |