Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

Everton logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Peterborough United

Everton
2 - 0
Peterborough

Beto (42'), Ndiaye (90+8' pen.)
Beto (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Peterborough United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawPeterborough United
42.55% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)24.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)33.37% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.43% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.064 -0.06)41.89% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.064 -0.06)64.3% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)19.9% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)52.03% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)24.54% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)59.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Everton 42.55%
    Peterborough United 33.37%
    Draw 24.06%
EvertonDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.37%

How you voted: Everton vs Peterborough

Everton
81.0%
Draw
10.1%
Peterborough United
8.9%
79