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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Barnsley

Peterborough
1 - 3
Barnsley

Mothersille (74' pen.)
Ferguson (30')
Mills (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pines (47'), Keillor-Dunn (55'), Russell (86')
Pines (29'), O'Keeffe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Barnsley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Barnsley

Both sides have proven themselves to be strong offensively and weak in defence, so it is unlikely that either side will keep a clean sheet this weekend. However, Peterborough's defensive record is particularly shocking, and given that Barnsley have picked up most of their points on the road this season, the visitors will be confident of securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBarnsley
49.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 21.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 29.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 68.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87% (0.066000000000003 0.07)30.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65% (0.078000000000003 0.08)51.35% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.19% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)21.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (0.058 0.06)53.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 49.33%
    Barnsley 29.39%
    Draw 21.28%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Barnsley

Peterborough United
22.9%
Draw
34.3%
Barnsley
42.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Peterborough
2-2
Barnsley
Clarke-Harris (45+2', 48')
Kane (10'), Cole (31')
Connell (87')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Barnsley
1-3
Peterborough
Cotter (51')
Kyprianou (74'), Clarke-Harris (76'), Poku (85')
Kyprianou (44')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Peterborough
1-2
Barnsley
Taylor (21')
Connell (11'), Phillips (61')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
0-2
Peterborough

Palmer (59')
Marriott (25'), Kent (75')
Poku (52'), Marriott (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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