Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 9
May 15, 2025 at 6pm UK
Finnvedsvallen
Malmo

Varnamo
2 - 2
Malmo

Alshalkadi (34'), Junior Adjei (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gudjohnsen (4'), Jansson (39')
Rosengren (62')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: GAIS 1-1 Varnamo
Saturday, May 10 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Degerfors 1-4 Malmo
Sunday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
VarnamoDrawMalmo
30.41% (0.784 0.78)24.73% (0.197 0.2)44.86% (-0.977 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.82% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.94% (-0.481 -0.48)46.06% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.64% (-0.456 -0.46)68.36% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (0.28999999999999 0.29)28.43% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (0.36199999999999 0.36)64.19% (-0.36000000000001 -0.36)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.621 -0.62)20.61% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.991 -0.99)53.15% (0.993 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 30.41%
    Malmo 44.87%
    Draw 24.72%
VarnamoDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.208 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.31% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 44.87%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Malmo

Varnamo
21.4%
Draw
7.1%
Malmo
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Malmo
1-1
Varnamo
Bolin (55')
Rieks (34'), Pena (80'), Loukili (87')
Zeljkovic (89' pen.)
Apr 15, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Varnamo
0-4
Malmo

Kotto (81')
Kiese Thelin (6'), Cornelius (33'), Nanasi (51'), Botheim (78')
Jul 31, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Malmo
3-1
Varnamo
Kiese Thelin (24', 90+3'), Rieks (73')
Lewicki (49'), Busanello (52'), Bolin (90+3')
Johansson (27')
Larsson (43'), Junior Adjei (88')
> Preview
Jun 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Varnamo
1-3
Malmo
Engvall (2')
Ali (35', 75'), Nanasi (88')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Malmo
0-0
Varnamo