Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
