Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 11pm UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Corinthians

Racing
0 - 1
Corinthians


Bueno (52'), Alejandro Severo Cordero (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bidu (74')
Mana (14'), Charles (43')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-3 Huracan
Thursday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, May 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawCorinthians
20.73% (-0.199 -0.2)28.45% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)50.82% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 38.38% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.17% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)65.83% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.53% (-0.058 -0.06)84.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.18% (-0.271 -0.27)47.82% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.9% (-0.202 -0.2)83.1% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.066000000000003 0.07)26.44% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.088999999999999 0.09)61.61% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 20.73%
    Corinthians 50.81%
    Draw 28.44%
Racing de MontevideoDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 20.73%
0-0 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 16.82% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.18% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 50.81%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Corinthians
1-0
Racing
Romero (52')
Depay (27'), Raniele (57'), Bidon (76')
Torres (15')

Monzon (57'), Bueno (77'), Jesus Pinela Borysiuk (82')
May 28, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Corinthians
3-0
Racing
Garro (22'), Alberto (25' og.), Coronado (58')
Oliveira (6'), Raniele (42'), Caca (45+4')

Ferreira (5'), Magallanes (21')
Apr 3, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Racing
1-1
Corinthians
Alaniz (85')
Rodriguez (84'), Pereira (90+2')
Alberto (69')
Hugo (14'), Garro (89')
rhs 2.0
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