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League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Peterborough United

Northampton
2 - 1
Peterborough

McGeehan (28', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-3 Peterborough United

Northampton's injury crisis has had an adverse effect on their recent form, and we think that the Cobblers could experience another disappointing result on Monday, especially as they tend to struggle in meetings with Peterborough, who we believe will do enough to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPeterborough United
30.2% (-0.483 -0.48) 23.65% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 46.16% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.46% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)41.23% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (-0.488 -0.49)63.62% (0.489 0.49)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.547 -0.55)26.16% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (-0.74 -0.74)61.24% (0.74 0.74)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)49.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 30.2%
    Peterborough United 46.16%
    Draw 23.64%
Northampton TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: Northampton vs Peterborough

Northampton Town
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Peterborough United
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Peterborough
5-1
Northampton
Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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