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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Northampton Town |
70.09% (![]() | 17.84% (![]() | 12.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.02% (![]() | 39.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.66% (![]() | 62.34% (![]() |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.76% (![]() | 10.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.41% (![]() | 33.59% (![]() |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.31% (![]() | 43.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.14% (![]() | 79.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Northampton Town |
2-0 @ 11.61% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.19% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 4.41% Total : 70.07% | 1-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.71% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.27% Total : 12.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 83 |
2 | Wrexham | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 71 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 65 |
6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 61 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 60 |
8 | Reading | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 59 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 56 |
10 | Barnsley | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 51 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 49 |
13 | Stevenage | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 44 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 44 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 43 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 42 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 42 |
21 | Burton Albion | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |