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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Peterborough United

Birmingham
3 - 2
Peterborough

Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Peterborough United

Scoring five goals across their last two matches, Peterborough should pose a significant threat on the counter at St Andrew's this weekend. Birmingham could have to deal with a setback if Poku is on form for Posh, although we believe that Blues will narrowly earn their sixth straight league victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
37.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)42.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)22.55% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.93%
    Peterborough United 37.64%
    Draw 24.42%
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Peterborough

Birmingham City
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
Peterborough United
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Peterborough
3-2
Birmingham
Poku (4'), Mason-Clark (11'), Kyprianou (13')
Hogan (33'), Jutkiewicz (90')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
2-2
Peterborough
Gardner (85'), Hogan (88')
Marriott (16'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Kent (45+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Peterborough
3-0
Birmingham
Dean (1' og.), Clarke-Harris (35' pen.), Grant (50')
Kent (70'), Butler (90+2')

Woods (35'), Aneke (74')
Gardner (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham39288371284392
2Wrexham41249859322781
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe402112765372875
4Stockport CountyStockport412111960362474
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4121101057381973
6Bolton WanderersBolton40206146257566
7Reading401811115650665
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield401971454401464
9Leyton Orient401861655401560
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Lincoln CityLincoln411412155648854
12Barnsley41159175663-754
13Stevenage401410163843-552
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham40149174650-451
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough40139186170-948
16Exeter CityExeter40139184256-1448
17Mansfield TownMansfield40138194756-947
18Northampton TownNorthampton411113174259-1746
19Wigan AthleticWigan391112163438-445
20Bristol Rovers41126234166-2542
21Burton Albion40912194159-1839
22Crawley TownCrawley4199234878-3036
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge41811224065-2535
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4078253567-3229


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