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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Peterborough
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Poku (10'), Jade-Jones (33'), Mothersille (63')
Collins (36'), Fernandez (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McCormick (75'), O'Donkor (76')
Mola (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Bristol Rovers

 Peterborough's home form appears to be something of an anomaly given their stellar results on the road so far this season, and considering the Posh won both of their encounters against Bristol Rovers 2-0 last season, recent history is also on their side. While the Pirates will be hoping to bounce back after consecutive league defeats, we expect Peterborough to have too much on the day for their opponents and ascend towards the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
52.4% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 22.52% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.08% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.692 0.69)39.75% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.716 0.72)62.1% (-0.718 -0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.227 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (0.425 0.42)43.97% (-0.428 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.502 0.5)29.01% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.619 0.62)64.91% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 52.4%
    Bristol Rovers 25.08%
    Draw 22.52%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.08%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers

Peterborough United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Peterborough

Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833
> League One Full Table


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