Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United | 
| 22.44% (  -0.32) | 22.38% (  -0.19) | 55.18% (  0.51) | 
| Both teams to score 57.37% (  0.22) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.04% (  0.5) | 41.96% (  -0.49) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.63% (  0.5) | 64.37% (  -0.49) | 
| Bristol Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.58% (  -0.01) | 32.42% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.06% (  -0.01) | 68.94% (  0.01) | 
| Peterborough United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.88% (  0.34) | 15.11% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.32% (  0.64) | 43.67% (  -0.64) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United | 
| 2-1 @ 5.87% (  -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.52% (  -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.11% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.21% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.17% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.44% | 1-1 @ 10.42% (  -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.55% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% (  -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% (  0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 9.85% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 9.26% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.75% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 6.21% (  0.08) 0-3 @ 5.51% (  0.07) 2-3 @ 3.5% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 2.93% (  0.07) 0-4 @ 2.6% (  0.07) 2-4 @ 1.65% (  0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% (  0.04) 0-5 @ 0.98% (  0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.18% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
