

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 53.07% ( | 23.87% ( | 23.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( | 47.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( | 69.99% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( | 17.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.2% ( | 48.79% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( | 35.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.15% ( | 71.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 22 | 33 | 76 |
| 2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 67 |
| 3 | Wrexham | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 61 |
| 5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 53 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 47 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 46 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 45 |
| 14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 40 |
| 16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 40 |
| 17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 38 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 38 |
| 19 | Exeter CityExeter | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 37 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
| 21 | Burton Albion | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 29 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 28 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
