We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Fulham
Even though Birmingham have quickly developed a winning formula under Davies, they well and truly rode their luck against Charlton in round one and will face a serious step-up in quality here.
Blues should not be blown to smithereens by any stretch, but a place in the third-round draw surely belongs to the Cottagers.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fulham win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 34.63% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).