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Championship header 2

League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Northampton Town

Peterborough
5 - 1
Northampton

Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Northampton Town

 Peterborough are starting to build momentum thanks to a three-game winning run, and we think that they will continue their encouraging spell of form by claiming a narrow victory in Tuesday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
72.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 16.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 11.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.71% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 72.81%
    Northampton Town 11.12%
    Draw 16.06%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.81%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.06%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.12%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Northampton

Peterborough United
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Northampton Town
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Northampton
Baldwin (12'), Marriott (14')
Maddison (47')

Powell (20'), Hoskins (45'), Grimes (71'), Crooks (78'), van Veen (85'), Facey (93')
Taylor (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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