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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Northampton
1 - 1
Charlton

Appere (80')
Simpson (33'), Brough (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (4')
Coventry (71'), Edmonds-Green (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Charlton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton would have taken a lot of confidence from Tuesday's win over Derby, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw against a Northampton side that has lost just one of their last seven home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
41.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.99% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.11% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)46.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.023 -0.02)68.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.04% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)62.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 41.89%
    Charlton Athletic 33.11%
    Draw 24.99%
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.11%

How you voted: Northampton vs Charlton

Northampton Town
0.0%
Draw
26.3%
Charlton Athletic
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Charlton
2-3
Northampton
McGowan (20' og.), Watson (45+3')
Edun (32'), Ladapo (58'), Bakinson (69'), Coventry (71')
Edun (86')
Simpson (7'), Hoskins (22'), Appere (90+7')
Hoskins (25'), Bowie (89')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Charlton
2-1
Northampton
Washington (64' pen., 85')
Morgan (44'), Watson (82'), Aneke (90+5')
Jones (90+3')
Kioso (40'), Edmondson (70'), Horsfall (90+5')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Charlton

Racic (11'), Harriman (65'), Hoskins (81')
Pratley (54'), Sowerby (59' og.)
Forster-Caskey (82')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-4
Charlton

Moloney (34'), McWilliams (43'), Crooks (87'), Pereira (90')
Reeves (14'), Fosu (19', 51'), Magennis (79')
Pearce (71')
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Charlton
4-1
Northampton
Magennis (2'), Holmes (61'), Forster-Caskey (94', 97')
Forster-Caskey (75'), Pearce (92')
Richards (79')
Pierre (49'), Crooks (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530


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