

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 52.49% ( | 23.12% ( | 24.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( | 16.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.81% ( | 46.19% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( | 31.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.21% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 41 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 96 |
| 2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 84 |
| 3 | Wrexham | 43 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 83 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 79 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 78 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 43 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 | Reading | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 69 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 66 |
| 9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 64 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 63 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 57 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 |
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 53 |
| 15 | Stevenage | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 52 |
| 16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 50 |
| 17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 49 |
| 18 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 47 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 43 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 43 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 38 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 49 | 81 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 30 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
