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Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Bowie (66' pen.)
Willis (53'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (26'), Freestone (66'), Long (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Northampton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town

 These are two teams in search of points for very different reasons, and that should lead to an interesting fixture to start the year. However, the quality of Northampton Town is likely going to be too much in this one, and should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
48.02% (-0.291 -0.29) 25.54% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 26.43% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.169 -0.17)51.8% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.15 -0.15)73.56% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)21.58% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.304 -0.3)54.67% (0.309 0.31)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.36% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (0.09 0.09)71.06% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.01%
    Cheltenham Town 26.43%
    Draw 25.53%
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cheltenham
0-1
Northampton

Freestone (82')
Hoskins (88')
Bowie (14'), Guthrie (64')
Jun 22, 2020 8pm
Cheltenham
0-3
Northampton
> Match Report
Jun 18, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
0-2
Cheltenham
> Match Report
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
2-1
Northampton
Broom (19'), Varney (85')
Boyle (30'), Varney (87')
Watson (3')
Harriman (33'), Lines (63'), Wharton (77'), Morton (84')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-1
Cheltenham
Turnbull (38')
Turnbull (2'), Hoskins (14')
Thomas (3' pen.)
Greaves (55'), Sheaf (58'), Addai (95')
Addai (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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