

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town | 
| 40.68% (  0.64) | 27.65% (  -0.11) | 31.67% (  -0.54) | 
| Both teams to score 48.16% (  0.17) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.51% (  0.29) | 57.49% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.72% (  0.22) | 78.28% (  -0.23) | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.27% (  0.5) | 27.72% (  -0.5) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.71% (  0.63) | 63.29% (  -0.64) | 
| Shrewsbury Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.63% (  -0.23) | 33.37% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30% (  -0.25) | 70% (  0.25) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town | 
| 1-0 @ 11.86% (  0.03) 2-1 @ 8.36% (  0.09) 2-0 @ 7.61% (  0.13) 3-1 @ 3.57% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 1.96% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% (  0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 13.02% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.25% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.59% (  0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.15% (  -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.15% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.57% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.62% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.68% (  -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
