

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 27.53% (  -2.59) | 25.27% (  -0.58) | 47.21% (  3.17) | 
| Both teams to score 53.18% (  0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.03% (  1.03) | 49.97% (  -1.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.04% (  0.91) | 71.96% (  -0.91) | 
| Shrewsbury Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.48% (  -1.39) | 32.52% (  1.39) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.95% (  -1.6) | 69.05% (  1.59) | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.82% (  1.88) | 21.18% (  -1.88) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.94% (  2.84) | 54.06% (  -2.84) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 1-0 @ 7.74% (  -0.64) 2-1 @ 6.75% (  -0.43) 2-0 @ 4.35% (  -0.54) 3-1 @ 2.53% (  -0.27) 3-2 @ 1.96% (  -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.63% (  -0.28) Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (  -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.89% (  -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.23% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% (  0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 10.69% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 9.32% (  0.31) 0-2 @ 8.3% (  0.57) 1-3 @ 4.82% (  0.41) 0-3 @ 4.29% (  0.52) 2-3 @ 2.71% (  0.14) 1-4 @ 1.87% (  0.25) 0-4 @ 1.67% (  0.28) 2-4 @ 1.05% (  0.11) Other @ 2.5% Total : 47.21% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
