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Championship header 2

League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mata (28'), Udoh (48')
Winchester (43'), Perry (45+2'), Bennett (56'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garrity (57')
Ojo (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Port Vale

 Shrewsbury may have suffered a disappointing defeat in their away meeting with Blackpool, but after winning five of their last six competitive home matches, we think that they will get the job done against Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
39.41% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 26.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.41% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.02 0.02)72.34% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.029000000000011 0.03)25.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)59.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 39.41%
    Port Vale 34.57%
    Draw 26.01%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Shrewsbury
3-2
Port Vale
Dunkley (27'), Leahy (33'), Phillips (43')
Politic (13'), Proctor (52')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Shrewsbury
0-4
Port Vale
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Harrison (9', 90+1')
Saydee (19')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
 Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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