

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 48.72% ( | 24.07% ( | 27.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( | 45.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( | 67.42% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( | 18.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.12% ( | 49.88% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( | 30.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.64% ( | 66.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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