Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton United
Although Sutton have knocked out two teams in League One to book their place in third round, we think that they will be unable to repeat that feat on Tuesday. We believe that the Valiants will prove too strong for a Sutton side who have failed to win any of their last five competitive games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Sutton United |
53.98% ( 0.27) | 24.17% ( -0.1) | 21.84% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( 0.18) | 50.35% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( 0.16) | 72.29% ( -0.17) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.17) | 18.57% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.17% ( 0.29) | 49.83% ( -0.3) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.08) | 37.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.54% ( -0.07) | 74.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.84% |
