MX23RW : Saturday, October 7 20:28:37| >> :600:2322244:2322244:
Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
Sutton
2 - 2
Aston Villa U21s
Kasimu (79'), Beautyman (90+10')
Angol (28'), Pereira (39'), Sowunmi (54')
FT
(aet)
O'Reilly (6' pen.), Kellyman (67')
Kellyman (56')
Aston Villa U21s win 6-4 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Aston Villa Under-21s.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Friday, September 1 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.69%).

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAston Villa Under-21s
56.81% (0.976 0.98) 21.62% (-0.132 -0.13) 21.56% (-0.848 -0.85)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (-0.455 -0.45)39.53% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-0.475 -0.48)61.88% (0.469 0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (0.15000000000001 0.15)13.77% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (0.30099999999999 0.3)41.07% (-0.305 -0.31)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-1.012 -1.01)31.84% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-1.173 -1.17)68.28% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 56.81%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 21.56%
    Draw 21.62%
Sutton UnitedDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 56.81%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 21.56%

rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Tottenham HotspurSpurs86201881020
2Manchester CityMan City76011751218
3Arsenal7520156917
4Liverpool7511167916
5Aston Villa75021811715
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton75021914515
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham74121310313
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle74031871112
9Crystal Palace833277012
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd8404912-312
11Chelsea8323117411
12Fulham8323813-511
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest8233810-29
14Brentford81431112-17
15Everton8215912-37
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7214813-57
17Luton TownLuton8116615-94
18Burnley8116720-134
19Bournemouth8035518-133
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd8017622-161

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!