Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.