Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.07%) and 2-3 (4.86%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.