| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 8 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Peterborough United | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury Town | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Exeter City | 8 | 4 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 45.25% ( | 28.89% ( | 25.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.13% ( | 63.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.9% ( | 83.09% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( | 28.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.96% ( | 64.04% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( | 41.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.97% ( | 78.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.84% ( 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-2 @ 3.61% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 |
| 15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
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