FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
0 - 2
Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Port Vale
Although Burton are winless in five competitive matches, four of those games have taken place away from the Pirelli Stadium. Having won four of their previous five home encounters, we think that the Brewers will make full use of home advantage to secure their passage to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Port Vale |
37.49% ( 0.02) | 25.42% | 37.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
