

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 27.79% ( | 26.62% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.84% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.18% ( | 71.82% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( | 24.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.57% ( | 58.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 2-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.79% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-4 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
