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Championship header 2

League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Northampton Town

Lincoln
1 - 2
Northampton

Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town

 There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now, and that should lead to a closely contested game on Friday night. With each team looking to get back to winning ways, it would not be a surprise to see them cancel each other out and play to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
40.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.76% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.7% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.48% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)32.75% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)69.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.5%
    Northampton Town 32.01%
    Draw 27.47%
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.01%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Northampton

Lincoln City
12.5%
Draw
75.0%
Northampton Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
1-1
Northampton
Andrade (27')
Anderson (42')
Pierre (45')
Buchanan (13'), Goode (39'), Taylor (61'), Elsnik (67')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Lincoln
3-2
Northampton
Anderson (16'), Pett (52'), Andrade (90')
Shackell (45'), Akinde (71'), Green (94'), Pett (99')
Bridge (55'), Van Veen (81')
van Veen (27'), O'Toole (36'), Turnbull (67'), McWilliams (75')
Morias (99')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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