Derby County 3-1 Lincoln City - League One - December 21, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby

3 - 1

Lincoln

Hourihane (26'), Wilson (65'), Collins (77')
Hourihane (84'), Collins (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mandroiu (45+2' pen.)
Jackson (57'), Vale (85'), Erhahon (89')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Derby County and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Reading
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Derby County 2-1 Lincoln City

With both teams having put together lengthy unbeaten streaks, this should be a competitive fixture. Lincoln will fancy their chances of collecting at least a point, but we feel that the Rams are playing with enough confidence to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Lincoln City
66.02% ( 0.01)	20.84% ( -0)	13.14% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.02% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-0.01)

50.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0.01)

72.36% (

0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

-0)

14.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.58% (

-0)

42.42% (

-0)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46% (

-0.02)

48.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.38% (

-0.01)

83.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 66.02%

Lincoln City 13.14%

Draw 20.84%

Derby County	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.22% Total : 66.02%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.84%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 13.14%

How you voted: Derby vs Lincoln

Derby County

70.0%

Draw

20.0%

Lincoln City

10.0%

Head to Head

Sep 19, 2023 7pm

Group Stage

Derby

2-0

Lincoln

Barkhuizen (51'), Sibley (77')
Fornah (4'), Elder (36')

Duffy (53')

Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 32

Derby

1-1

Lincoln

Hourihane (69')

Shodipo (43')

Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 9

Lincoln

2-0

Derby

Diamond (12' pen.), House (68')

Form Guide

Derby 1-1 Wycombe

Leyton Orient 0-3 Derby

Derby 3-0 Fleetwood

Port Vale 0-1 Derby

Derby 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Derby 1-3 Crewe

Lincoln 1-1 Reading

Accrington 1-0 Lincoln

Wigan 0-0 Lincoln

Cambridge 0-3 Lincoln

Lincoln 2-2 Barnsley

Leyton Orient 0-1 Lincoln

Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal

Asian Cup

South Korea

Iraq

Jordan

Necaxa

Premier League 2 - Div 1

West Ham U21s

NFL Playoffs

Rams

23-24

Lions

9.30pm

Steelers

Bills

Australian Open First Round

> Fixtures

Result

Kypson
Ruusuvuori

6 3 4 64
4 6 6 77

Result

Musetti
Bonzi

77 77 4 6
63 64 6 2

Result

Carballes Baena
Gaston

3 2 6 4
6 6 3 6

Result

Cobolli
Jarry

6 3 6 2 7
4 6 3 6 5

Result

Korda
Kopriva

6 6 2 4 6
1 4 6 6 2

Result

Wickmayer
Gracheva

3 4
6 6

Result

Noskova
Bouzkova

6 7
1 5

Result

Podoroska
Zidansek

6 6
1 0

Result

Day
Tomova

4 2
6 6

Result

Svitolina
Preston

6 6
2 2

Result

Yastremska
Vondrousova

6 6
1 2

Result

Hunter
Errani

6 6
4 3

Result

Atmane
Medvedev

7 2 4 0
5 6 6 1

(ret.)

Result

Karolina Schmiedlova
Gauff

3 0
6 6

Result

Mannarino
Wawrinka

6 3 5 6 6
4 6 7 3 0

Result

Bautista Agut
Shelton

2 62 5
6 77 7

Result

Duckworth
Van Assche

77 3 6 3 3
62 6 3 6 6

Result

Popyrin
Polmans

6 77 6
3 63 2

Result

Lestienne
Davidovich Fokina

4 4 65
6 6 77

Result

Juvan
Potapova

6 6
1 4

Result

Alexandrova
Siegemund

2 6 69
6 3 711

Result

Maria
Osorio

7 64 6
5 77 4

Result

Kostyuk
Liu

6 4 6
3 6 1

Result

Ferro
Kessler

6 3 2
3 6 6

Result

Shnaider
Paolini

3 4
6 6

Result

Masarova
Sasnovich

6 6
3 4

Result

Bergs
Tsitsipas

7 1 1 3
5 6 6 6

Result

Vukic
Thompson

6 63 2 6 4
3 77 6 3 6

Result

Shapovalov
Mensik

3 5 5
6 7 7

Result

Pavlyuchenkova
Vekic

6 6
4 4

Result

Eubanks
Daniel

6 6 6
4 2 3

Result

Murray
Martin Etcheverry

4 2 2
6 6 6

Result

Hanfmann
Monfils

4 3 5
6 6 7

Result

Marterer
Borges

5 63 2
7 77 6

Result

Altmaier
Khachanov

7 3 65 63
5 6 77 77

Result

Tabilo
Kovacevic

77 67 6 1 3
62 79 1 6 6

Result

Cristian
Siniakova

2 5
6 7

Result

Putintseva
Zakharova

6 0 3
2 6 6

Result

Frech
Saville

65 6 7
77 3 5

Result

Sherif
Mertens

2 0
6 2

(ret.)

Result

Humbert
Goffin

6 7 5 6
2 5 7 3

Result

Muller
Grenier

6 6 6 4 67
2 7 4 6 710

Result

Hijikata
Struff

6 3 2 77 68
3 6 6 62 710

Result

Kecmanovic
Watanuki

4 7 6 6
6 5 3 4

Result

Zhizhen
Coria

6 77 77
4 63 65

Result

Golubic
Kudermetova

77 1 6
64 6 1

Result

Kalinskaya
Volynets

6 3 6
3 6 2

Result

Fruhvirtova
Haddad Maia

2 6 2
6 3 6

Result

Kalinina
Rus

1 0
6 6

Result

Townsend
Badosa

1 3
6 6

Result

Andreeva
Pera

7 6
5 2

Result

Jasika
Hurkacz

64 4 2
77 6 6

Result

De Minaur
Raonic

66 6 2
78 3 0

(ret.)

Result

Jabeur
Starodubtseva

6 6
3 1

Result

Auger-Aliassime
Thiem

6 7 65 5 6
3 5 77 7 3

Result

Garcia
Osaka

6 77
4 62

> View full version> Yesterday's results

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Portsmouth	27	15	8	4	42	25	17	53
2	Peterborough United Peterborough	26	15	7	4	52	28	24	52
3	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	24	16	3	5	45	24	21	51
4	Derby County Derby	25	15	4	6	47	24	23	49
5	Oxford United Oxford Utd	26	15	4	7	45	30	15	49
6	Barnsley	25	13	7	5	48	29	19	46
7	Stevenage	26	13	7	6	38	25	13	46
8	Blackpool	27	12	6	9	44	32	12	42
9	Northampton Town Northampton	26	11	4	11	32	34	-2	37
10	Leyton Orient	26	9	8	9	28	31	-3	35
11	Bristol Rovers	25	9	7	9	35	35	0	34
12	Lincoln City Lincoln	27	8	9	10	30	30	0	33
13	Charlton Athletic Charlton	26	7	9	10	40	39	1	30
14	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	26	7	9	10	30	35	-5	30
15	Port Vale	25	8	6	11	28	38	-10	30
16	Cambridge United Cambridge	25	8	6	11	23	33	-10	30
17	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	27	9	3	15	17	37	-20	30
18	Wigan Athletic Wigan	26	10	6	10	36	31	5	28
19	Burton Albion	26	7	7	12	21	35	-14	28
20	Exeter City Exeter	26	7	5	14	18	39	-21	26
21	Reading	25	7	6	12	34	41	-7	23
22	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	25	6	5	14	19	34	-15	23
23	Carlisle United Carlisle	27	4	8	15	22	41	-19	20
24	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	26	4	6	16	23	47	-24	18
					> League One Full Table