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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
66.82% (![]() | 19.54% (![]() | 13.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% (![]() | 43.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% (![]() | 66.28% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.79% (![]() | 12.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.11% (![]() | 37.89% (![]() |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% (![]() | 43.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% (![]() | 79.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 11.22% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 66.81% | 1-1 @ 9.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.42% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
15 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |