Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.