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Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 27
Apr 19, 2025 at 8am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
0 - 2
Auckland FC

FT(HT: 0-0)
Verstraete (53'), May (89')
Elliot (59'), Sakai (79'), Francois (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-3 Victory
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAuckland FC
57.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 21.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 21.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)39.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.44% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)13.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.012 0.01)31.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 57.03%
    Auckland FC 21.47%
    Draw 21.5%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAuckland FC
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.03%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.47%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2025 4am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC25158247232453
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City25136636241245
3Western UnitedWestern Utd25135751351644
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney25127655391643
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2512674335842
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC25107852411137
8Macarthur2596104942733
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2585124243-129
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2566132741-1424
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2546153050-2018
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2535172056-3614


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