Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Auckland FC0 - 0Victory
Verstraete (66')
FT
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 1-4 Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-0 Victory
Saturday, December 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
23.29% ( 0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.19) | 53.7% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( -0.85) | 43.85% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( -0.84) | 66.24% ( 0.84) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0.45) | 32.71% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.51) | 69.27% ( 0.51) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0.38) | 16.28% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.16% ( -0.69) | 45.84% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Auckland FC 23.29%
Melbourne Victory 53.7%
Draw 23.01%
| Auckland FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.7% |
How you voted: Auckland FC vs Victory
Auckland FC
57.1%Draw
0.0%Melbourne Victory
42.9%7
Form Guide
