Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.