Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 12, 2025 at 6am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington2 - 3Victory
Piper (10'), Retre (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Sunday, April 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Sunday, April 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Victory 5-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 29 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Saturday, March 29 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 2-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
21.06% ( 0.34) | 21.67% ( 0.14) | 57.27% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
