Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2025 at 6.30am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington0 - 1Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auckland FC 6-1 Wellington
Saturday, February 22 at 4am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 22 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Victory 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 22 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 22 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
25.68% ( -0.39) | 23.58% ( -0.15) | 50.75% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
