
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 73.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Heerenveen.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
| 73.36% ( | 15.9% ( | 10.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.77% ( | 34.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( | 56.12% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% ( | 8.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.72% ( | 28.28% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( | 42.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.47% ( | 78.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 3-0 @ 9.04% ( 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 4-0 @ 5.7% ( 4-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 5-0 @ 2.88% ( 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 6-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 73.36% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 10.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
