MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 21:25:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Willem II

Heerenveen
3 - 1
Willem II

Nicolaescu (11'), Kersten (32'), Sebaoui (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bosch (75')
Behounek (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 30 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 Almere City
Saturday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-0 Willem II

The hosts have an impressive record at home in the league this term - losing only one of their 13 home fixtures - and given Willem II's poor record in this clash, we expect Heerenveen to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawWillem II
64.13% (0.75299999999999 0.75) 19.5% (-0.392 -0.39) 16.37% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 56.55% (0.624 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (1.189 1.19)37.94% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (1.256 1.26)60.2% (-1.245 -1.25)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (0.557 0.56)11.19% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3% (1.195 1.2)35.71% (-1.185 -1.19)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.311 0.31)36.32% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.312 0.31)73.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 64.13%
    Willem II 16.37%
    Draw 19.5%
HeerenveenDrawWillem II
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.12% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.156 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.9% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 2% (0.095 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.105 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 64.13%
1-1 @ 9.02% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.5%
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.37%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Willem II

Heerenveen
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Willem II
0.0%
38
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Willem II
1-2
Heerenveen
Van der Hart (89' og.)
Bosch (25'), Behounek (45+3')
Nicolaescu (85' pen.), Brouwers (90+3')
Smans (53'), Hall (64')
Mar 5, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Willem II
0-0
Heerenveen
Saglam (71'), Saddiki (90+3')
Nov 21, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Heerenveen
2-1
Willem II
Stevanovic (70'), Bakker (76')
Musaba (13'), Kaib (36'), Stevanovic (82'), Dresevic (90+3')
Musaba (21')
Nunnely (69')
Nelom (75')
Nelom (78')
Mar 13, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Willem II
3-1
Heerenveen
Holmen (28'), Okyere Wriedt (55'), Nunnely (58')
Veerman (73')
Veerman (59')
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Heerenveen
2-0
Willem II

Llonch (19'), Nelom (32'), Saglam (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


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