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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Almere City |
48.64% (![]() | 25.1% (![]() | 26.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.87% (![]() | 50.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% (![]() | 72.09% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% (![]() | 20.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% (![]() | 53.2% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% (![]() | 33.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% (![]() | 70.25% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Almere City |
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.35% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |