
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 68.25% ( | 19.61% ( | 12.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( | 47.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( | 69.82% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( | 12.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.65% ( | 39.35% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.57% ( | 48.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.46% ( | 83.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 13.1% ( 1-0 @ 12.8% ( 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.87% ( 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.44% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.61% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0-2 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
