
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City | 
| 68.25% (  -0.7) | 19.61% (  0.22) | 12.15% (  0.49) | 
| Both teams to score 44.91% (  0.84) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.38% (  0.29) | 47.62% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.18% (  0.27) | 69.82% (  -0.27) | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.08% (  -0.11) | 12.91% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.65% (  -0.24) | 39.35% (  0.24) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 51.57% (  1.04) | 48.43% (  -1.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.46% (  0.74) | 83.54% (  -0.74) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City | 
| 2-0 @ 13.1% (  -0.27) 1-0 @ 12.8% (  -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.5% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 8.94% (  -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.48% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 4.57% (  -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.32% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% (  0.08) 5-0 @ 1.87% (  -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.36% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% (  0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 9.28% (  0.12) 0-0 @ 6.26% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.44% (  0.13) Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.61% | 0-1 @ 4.54% (  0.08) 1-2 @ 3.37% (  0.14) 0-2 @ 1.64% (  0.08) Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.15% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 | 
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 | 
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 | 
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
