Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 17.13% ( | 20.05% ( | 62.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( | 39.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( | 61.42% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.08% ( | 72.92% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.11% ( | 11.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.79% ( | 37.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 2-0 @ 2.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 3-1 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 17.13% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0-2 @ 9.74% ( 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0-3 @ 6.92% ( 1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0-4 @ 3.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0-5 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 62.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
